Despite a difficult month of September, the number of fatal accidents involving Experimental aircraft fell over the last year, remaining under the FAA’s “not to exceed” limit.
COVID certainly reduced E-AB hours over the last 9 months at least, right? There are a lot of folks with less disposable income, a reduction in fly-ins, etc. Seems strange that the article doesn't mention it, as it is certainly the elephant in the room.Despite a difficult month of September, the number of fatal accidents involving Experimental aircraft fell over the last year, remaining under the FAA’s “not to exceed” limit.www.avweb.com
That "denominator problem" is a nagging issue in all the E-AB stats. Ron has found some clever work-arounds that help, but it is still a problem. There's no hard data on how many hours are flown.It would hold more value as a statistic if it was in relationship with hours flown?
There is also a report stating the number of hour flown has declined, I cannot find it right now, so no hard data, but if it's true, the stats for accidents per flight hour might be constant.I generally dislike making statements that one year had more or fewer accidents that the previous one. The number of accidents every year will vary naturally. There's little to be inferred from comparing the numbers between years.
Here's the fatal accident statistics for 1998-2018. I run my analysis on a calendar-year basis (not fiscal year like the FAA).
View attachment 104271
All Fixed Wing
All Single-Engine Piston
Ron, is that airframe or pilot? If that's airframe hours, I shudder to think what pilot hours are.Here's the annual average flying time from the FAA's 2018 General Aviation Survey.
Year All Fixed Wing All Single-Engine Piston Amateur-Built 2012 117.1 88.8 45.0 2013 116.0 86.1 44.8 2014 114.4 82.5 44.2 2015 116.9 87.7 47.2 2016 121.0 91.5 43.4 2017 121.3 92.8 46.5 2018 126.0 92.9 41.5
Airframe. One can probably assume that all the yearly hours of most EAB are flown by a single pilot, though.Ron, is that airframe or pilot? If that's airframe hours, I shudder to think what pilot hours are.
80-90hrs a year seem like a good proficiency minimum to me.
Yeah, did some flying up around Anchorage and Talkeetna a couple of years ago. Judging from what I saw up there of what I assume were privately owned GA aircraft, I'd say that sounds about right.From my experience based on the time I spent in Alaska most of the general aviation pilot time comes from a few touch and goes in the week or two preceding hunting season followed by a brief flurry of activity (and accidents) during hunting season and that is about it.
A song I've been singing for years. A fair comparison of homebuilt accident rates should be to privately-owned aircraft operated for recreation.I’d bet those FAA numbers are an average that include flight school and rental airplanes (which I suspect in “normal times” probably flew at least a couple hundred hours a year).
I wonder what the numbers look like for individual/partnership-owned light aircraft, excluding all the commercial/rental/training/business use ones. Or the hours per person for those flying recreationally/not for hire.
Est. Total Hours
|Business w/o crew|
|Aerial App Ag|
|On-Demand Air Taxi|
|On-Demand Air Tours|
Can anyone quote how many hours are flown in this past year sample? 44 fatals sounds high w/o knowing what to compare to.Despite a difficult month of September, the number of fatal accidents involving Experimental aircraft fell over the last year, remaining under the FAA’s “not to exceed” limit.www.avweb.com