So the ability to steal documents/examples of a technology and to actually be able to design/manufacture/utilize tech are two related but different things. What I look at is whether China is able to deploy the technology, and - like absence of 'Made in PRC' high-tech and mid-tech chips in the market - absence of recoverable PRC rocket boosters seems to me like evidence that we have a few more years before we see China start landing boosters for reuse, and a few more to get it right. I have been wrong before!
I think there is. Maybe not as much as here but they are well aware of what our economy can do when riled. After all, that's how we defeated Soviet Russia. We spent them into the ground.That is the reason here. I don’t think that there is much motivation for that in the PRC.
Another long discussion that few will be interested in.Here's a fact folks. Some years back Communist China got their programming loaded into a great many NIC (Network Interface Cards) manufactured in Taiwan and S. Korea. These cards when used on normal PCs would Phone Home (to China) and report everything going on with that particular PC. In doing so they've gathered not only industrial intel but government as well. And even tough they've been found out, do you really think they've stopped their efforts? That is just ONE example.
Think about this. China has roughly 50% of the worlds population (India is 2nd with something around 13%). This gives China roughly 50% of the worlds work force. The main difference between China and the west is the education level of the average citizen and the level of industrialization of the country. China is working and making great strides on both. And like Japan in the 1950's and 60's, China's industry is brand new and several generations ahead of our old stuff. Think China is a bunch of ignorant peasants living in straw huts? Take a closer look.
In the meantime our schools are teaching revised history, environmentalism and Woke theory vice reading, writing and arithmetic. And our government is encouraging industry to move away to avoid high tax rates. A bill just signed by Biden increases corporate tax rates. Who do you think will really pay those taxes? Priced a new car lately?
So, what do we do? We have to start by letting our so called elected representatives know what's on our minds. They all have an e-mail contact, book mark it and use it. Then we have to vote the idiots out. Too many citizens believe there is no threat. That their American dream will go on forever. That our politicians are not in cahoots with China and Russia. That 9-11 is a fading memory and was a hoax anyway.
If you listen to the TV Pundits, they're advising you to invest in gold and silver. I prefer to invest in lead and brass. It's far cheaper and with it I can take your gold and silver. Or anything else for that matter.
Communist China got their programming loaded into a great many NIC (Network Interface Cards)
There are many more, starting long ago.That is just ONE example.
Exactly...but that was before we figured out that there is a 100M hole in the released 2020 data that skews hard young and hard female. If you correct the model for the hole, you go from P2100/P2020 = 0.5 to P2050/P2020 = 0.5, and peak population then has to be somewhere back in the last decade to make it work.@SpruceForest
Interesting read on the population aspects. I am NOT current, but I recall a lot of the discussions around China population over the past couple decades. Especially when they first relaxed the one child rule.
Back then, from what I recall, the workforce population should peak in the mid 20s (as in within next couple years), then really start to crash around 2035 with it cut in half by 2040. The population was supposed to peak around 2035-2040, and cut in half by 2055.
So SpaceX says refurb of a rocket runs about 10% of a new Falcon 9 booster. Obviously just throwing the booster away at launch results in some payload savings due to lack of need to carry the fuel, avionics, etc. necessary to safely land a reusable booster, so the notion of getting what looks like a cheap second launch (or 13th) comes with payload penalty, etc. That said, SpaceX has done what no other nation or civil company has done to date - dozens of routinely successful launches per year using the same boosters (with a number of SpaceX vehicles flown multiple times).Cheaper!
Think about this. China has roughly 50% of the worlds population (India is 2nd with something around 13%). This gives China roughly 50% of the worlds work force.
Peter Zeihan and Ian Bremer would be decent reads on the issue, with a couple of the geopolitical consulting shops being the ones teasing out the issues in the released data on the Chinese 2020 census. Bremer is more the traditional politically-influenced policy wonk here, with Zeihan the lane-breaker who's company is doing the detective work to get a better picture of the ground truth demographics. Zeihan's view of the bleak future for China is gaining traction as the fallout from their vax failure and the continued lock-downs-as-only-pandemic-management-tool have impacts on the output side of the house. Also the guy that called the Russia invasion sometime back prior to 2012, when he was def a voice in the wilderness.
Also...Russia simply stopped reporting their pop numbers and demo breakouts after it became apparent that it was ALL bad news and pretty decent intel for those dealing with Russia's ongoing efforts to determine the nature and speed at which they move into their twilight years as a nation. China may be in the same mode, given that demand destruction and capital flight may be as much tied to perceived near future as actual conditions on the ground
My sources were wrong then. Or simply way out of date. My apologies! Haven't really kept up on things as I've been preoccupied with cancer for some 9 years now.this is incorrect by a large margin. China certainly is the most populous nation (for now), but not nearly thet big. Current population is 1.4 billion. There are 8 billion people in the world. China represents about 17%.
India is expected to become the most populous nation, surpassing China’s population, by next spring.
So I have some involvement here on the work side so limited in what can be said, but to summarize, launch slots are a secondary aspect of owning the right to broadcast. Without spectrum, chucking comm sats into LEO is a vanity exercise or simply not doable. FCC regulates and license the RF spectrum in the US and as member of and in coordination with other members of the UN-sponsored ITU, assigns spectrum licenses and slots for US satellites... like any international agreement binding on the US, enforcement is via the executive branch through compliant regulation... FCC in this case makes and publishes those regulations and operates the enforcement mechanisms.What I find interesting in the /. article is that it's the *FCC* that's stepping up to the plate. (AKA jockeying for bureaucratic power and the associated dollars.) You would think NASA or Space Force would be taking the lead here to be the world's LEO traffic cop, with the FCC more concerned about sorting out the EM band conflicts.
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